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Support for staying in the EU has rocketed

December 21, 2018 9:43 AM
By Bryan Lewis

A poll of 5043 British adults was conducted by You Gov for the People's Vote campaign between December 12-14 December 2018.

For most of this year, polls have shown remain ahead of leave, typically by four to six points. But the poll now suggests that if a referendum was held between staying in the EU and leaving on the terms that the government has negotiated, staying enjoys an 18-point lead: 59-41%.

Staying in the EU now holds a commanding lead over the government's deal

In 2016 more than 17 million voted to leave in 2016. The new poll shows that:

  • 10 million support the Government's deal,
  • 2 million would now vote to remain,
  • 3 million are not sure or would not vote.

Of the 16 million who voted remain in 2016

  • 13.5 million would still vote to stay in the EU
  • 4 million would vote for May's deal
  • 1 million are not sure or would not vote.

leave voters have lost faith in Brexit

When asked 'Would Brexit will make the economy stronger?" 2016 Leave voters answered:

Stronger 43% in Sept 2018 but 24% in Dec 2018

Weaker 12% in Sept 2018 but 26% in Dec 2018

There have also been marked falls in leave voters' optimism about people's standard of living. Pro-Europeans' views have changed little. They are just as pessimistic now as they were three months ago.